Nate Silver: Washington is the New Florida

October 31st, 2010

Here’s Nate Silver on how it increasingly looks like Washington state may be the difference maker in deciding who will control the Senate.

The idea here is that Republicans seem to be increasing or maintaining margins in Illinois, Nevada and  Colorado, and California seems to be trending the opposite way. This leaves West Virginia in the true tossup category and Washington state as the most important Democratic Firewall seat in a usually reliably blue state. Republicans would have to win in both to take the Senate, but recent polls in Washington have shown Patty Murray’s lead tightening in recent days and this one looks like it could go down to the wire.

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