Archive for the ‘–Colorado Senate’ Category

Latino Voters Key Part of Western Democratic Firewall

Monday, November 8th, 2010

On election night last week, NBC’s Brian Williams interviewed Jose Diaz Ballart, the Telemundo anchor, who said that if Harry Reid was elected, he better learn to say “muchas gracias,” because Latino’s turned out to vote for him at levels that matched or exceeded those of the 2008 presidential election.

This pattern was repeated in a number of other high profile races in the West. While the dynamics in each case vary, Latino’s played key roles in Democratic victories in Colorado, Nevada and California, and in the process highlighted what should be a concerning trend for Republicans.

In Nevada, Sharron Angle went out of her way to make not so subtle racial appeals in her closing arguments. This, combined with a strong get out the vote effort by Harry Reid’s campaign helped propel Reid to an upset. In Colorado, Latinos combined with women to help Michael Bennet buck the trend and win a close race against Tea Party candidate Ken Buck. Meanwhile in California,  the allegations made by Meg Whitman’s maid and the way in which she handled them combined with another strong get out the vote effort focusing on Latinos helped not only Jerry Brown, but also Barbara Boxer. Over 1 in 5 voters in California were Latino in this election cycle and they broke overwhelmingly for Democrats.

Gil Cedillo points out that George Bush and Karl Rove saw the importance of Latino voters in building a successful Republican party in the long term, but that many Republican politicians have been focused on short-term political gain that can come from scapegoating Latinos, especially in the Republican primaries. While this may be a successful strategy in some parts of the country, it will become less and less so as time goes on.

Republicans may want to consider the fate of the Republican party in California, who never recovered from Pete Wilson’s attempt to deny illegal immigrant children access to school in 1994. Pete Wilson won that election, but he was the last non-action hero Republican to win a major statewide office in the state.

We can only hope that the Republicans are dumb enough to follow his lead nationwide.

Bennet and Buck Win in Colorado

Wednesday, August 11th, 2010

Here’s MSNBC’s First Read on last nights election results and the GOP’s Gamble on the Tea Party.

Watching Colorado

Tuesday, August 10th, 2010

I’ll be watching Colorado’s primaries tonight where there are competitive Senate primary races on both the Republican and Democratic sides.

Here’s some primers on the race from the New York Times and FiveThirtyEight.com.

I watched appointed incumbent Senator Michael Bennett last week on TV and I have to say that he seemed about as exciting as a wet firecracker. My gut tells me that Romanoff would be a better general election candidate, but the polls say otherwise.

On the Republican side, it’s a mirror of the Tea Party Tumult in Nevada, with the Tea Party candidate trailing the establishment Republican in general election matchups against the Democrats. The difference here being that Tea Party candidate Ken Buck is a Princeton educated lawyer who used to work for Dick Cheney, while Sharron Angle’s claim to fame seemed to be that she was voted Worst Legislator in Nevada multiple times.  

This seat should be one of the battleground states for the general election and could go a long way towards determining the makeup of the Senate going forward.